Skip to Content

Can Earth run out of oxygen?


Oxygen is essential for life on Earth. The atmosphere contains about 21% oxygen, which most organisms need for cellular respiration. With rising concern about climate change and environmental degradation, some wonder if Earth could run out of oxygen. This article examines whether our planet’s oxygen levels could significantly decline.

How is Oxygen Produced on Earth?

Oxygen gas (O2) is released into the atmosphere primarily through photosynthesis. During this process, plants, algae, and cyanobacteria absorb carbon dioxide (CO2) and sunlight to produce carbohydrates and oxygen as byproducts. Over billions of years, photosynthesizers have released enough oxygen to accumulate in the atmosphere.

The main photosynthetic reaction is:

6CO2 + 6H2O + sunlight → C6H12O6 + 6O2

This means for every molecule of CO2 consumed, one molecule of O2 is produced.

Major Sources of Atmospheric Oxygen

  • Terrestrial plants – Trees, shrubs, grasses, etc.
  • Phytoplankton – Microscopic algae that live in oceans and lakes
  • Cyanobacteria – Ancient photosynthetic bacteria that grow in water and soil

Phytoplankton contribute over 50% of global oxygen production. The Amazon rainforest is also a significant source, generating about 20% of Earth’s oxygen.

How is Oxygen Removed from the Atmosphere?

While photosynthesis adds oxygen, several natural processes can remove it:

Respiration

All aerobic organisms, including animals, fungi, and most bacteria, use oxygen when they break down sugars for energy. This process, called cellular respiration, converts oxygen into water and carbon dioxide.

The respiration reaction is opposite of photosynthesis:

C6H12O6 + 6O2 → 6CO2 + 6H2O + Energy

Human respiration alone removes over 7 billion tonnes of oxygen per year.

Combustion

Burning organic matter also consumes oxygen while releasing CO2 and water vapor. This includes wildfires in forests/grasslands and combustion of fossil fuels.

Chemical Weathering

Over geologic timescales, oxygen reacts with exposed rocks and minerals, binding the oxygen atoms into oxides and other compounds.

For example, iron exposed to oxygen will rust:

4Fe + 3O2 → 2Fe2O3

This geological oxidation has removed large amounts of O2 from the atmosphere over billions of years.

Decay

Aerobic decomposition of dead organic matter by bacteria and fungi requires oxygen. This occurs in environments like soil, swamps, landfills, and the ocean floor.

Could Oxygen Levels Drop Substantially?

Given both production and removal processes, let’s examine factors that could potentially cause oxygen levels to fall significantly.

Reduced Photosynthesis

If widespread deforestation occurred, destroying most plants and phytoplankton, oxygen regeneration would be severely impaired. However, phytoplankton produce ~70% of the planet’s oxygen, and most are in oceans that cannot easily be destroyed. Large reductions are unlikely.

Increased Respiration Rates

More animals on Earth would consume more oxygen through respiration. But even with large population increases, human and animal oxygen usage is dwarfed by phytoplankton production.

Massive Wildfires

Rampant, uncontrolled wildfires have the potential to consume oxygen faster than it’s regenerated. But even massive fires are localized and cyclical events, not continuous global occurrences.

Runaway Methane Release

Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, and huge trapped reservoirs exist frozen in Arctic permafrost and ocean clathrates. If rapidly released, methane could accelerate warming and fires, indirectly reducing oxygen. But such a runaway scenario is speculative.

Increased Chemical Weathering

Speeding up the reaction of oxygen with rock minerals would lower oxygen. But these geological processes are slow. Humans do not have the means to accelerate them drastically on a global scale.

Accelerated Decay

Having more organic matter decay simultaneously could potentially overtake oxygen regeneration. But dead biomass accumulates slowly compared to current rapid oxygen production.

Evidence From Earth’s History

Examining changes in atmospheric oxygen levels over geological history also provides clues about how much photosynthesis and respiration can vary:

Proterozoic Era (2.5 billion to 541 million years ago)

– Oxygen levels rose from near zero to over 15% as photosynthesis evolved.

Paleozoic Era (541 to 252 million years ago)

– Forests expanded, raising oxygen levels to 30% during the Carboniferous Period.

Mesozoic Era (252 to 66 million years ago)

– Declining CO2 levels lowered plant productivity, causing oxygen levels to fall back to 20%.

Cenozoic Era (66 million years ago to present)

– Oxygen has remained around 20-21% as ecosystems reached balance.

These data indicate changes occur on timescales of millions of years. There is no evidence of rapid oxygen reduction. Even huge events like asteroid collisions and volcanic eruptions did not significantly alter oxygen levels in the short term.

Could Oceans Lose Oxygen?

While the atmosphere is not expected to lose substantial oxygen, individual water bodies can experience declines in dissolved oxygen concentrations:

Causes of Ocean/Lake Deoxygenation

  • Nutrient pollution (fertilizers) causing algal blooms
  • Warming temperatures decreasing oxygen solubility
  • Loss of vertical mixing

This can create “dead zones” with oxygen levels too low to support marine life. However, these are local phenomena. Low oxygen regions can shift over time but the oceans as a whole will not turn anoxic.

Conclusion

Due to the enormous magnitude and distributed nature of oxygen production and consumption cycles on Earth, it is highly unlikely that atmospheric oxygen levels could drop drastically within human timeframes.

There are no foreseeable mechanisms that could remove enough oxygen to cause large-scale issues for complex life. Barring a massive extinction of plant life, which is difficult to achieve, Earth’s atmosphere should maintain a stable oxidizing state for millions of years to come. Localized ocean and lake deoxygenation events may occur, but are reversible and not global in extent.

Overall, the planetary oxygen balance appears to be in little danger of shifting dramatically outside of natural variability. Claims of impending oxygen depletion are not supported by current evidence. Careful stewardship of forests and fisheries remains important, but fears of oxygen running out appear unwarranted.